The Center for Study of Science, Technology and Policy (CSTEP)—a Bengaluru-based think tank—published a study on the climate of north-eastern India titled ‘District-Level Changes in Climate: Historical Climate and Climate Change Projections for the North-Eastern States of India’. The study projects changes in temperature and rainfall patterns in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Sikkim, and Tripura over the next three decades (2021–2050) compared to the historical period (1990–2019). It analysed two representative scenarios: moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) and high emissions (RCP 8.5).
Climate projections for the north-eastern states at the district level for the period 2021–2050 (the 2030s) indicate a warmer and wetter future with an increase in heavy rainfall events. The heavy rainfall events are projected to be more frequent and more intense, and the projections are largely in agreement with the literature available at the global, South Asia, and national levels.
Read the full report here.